Our Predictions
Libya are clear favorites with better form, higher standing, and stronger defense. Their previous win against Mauritius and solid away record make the away win the logical pick at short odds.
Both teams have struggled for consistency in attack, and neither scores or concedes heavily in recent matches. The price for under 2.5 goals is reasonable given the stakes and likely approach.
Mauritius rarely keep a clean sheet, but Libya’s defense is more organized. Mauritius’s goal-scoring record is poor, and the odds for ‘No’ on BTTS reflect this.
Welcome to Extratips – Mauritius vs Libya World Cup Qualifier Preview
Get set for a crucial World Cup qualifier as Mauritius host Libya at Cote d Or National Sports Complex on Monday, October 13, 2025 (16:00 UTC). Both teams enter this match with different ambitions—Mauritius seeking a rare spark in the campaign, Libya chasing a playoff spot. Expect passion, possible surprises, and a real test for both squads.
Match Context
Libya sits 3rd in Group D with 15 points from 9 games; Mauritius is 5th, struggling with just 5 points from nine outings. The visitors are in the hunt, the hosts are all but out—expect a contrast in motivation. The only direct meeting (June 2024) saw Libya edge Mauritius 2-1, but a repeat is not guaranteed, especially on Indian Ocean soil.
Team Form & Stats
Mauritius have lost their last three competitive games and have not recorded a win in eight matches. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in seven games. At home, their record is discouraging—three losses, a draw, and a single win in their last five outings. Libya may not be flying either, but they won twice in their last five away games, drew two, and lost one. The stats tell a clear story: Libya’s defense is tighter, Mauritius leaks goals.
Key Players
For Mauritius, defender Lindsay Rose has been steady, with two goals in eight matches. Emmanuel Vincent also pops up with important contributions. Upfront, Ezoo El Mariamy is the most likely attacking threat (4 goals in 5 matches). But inconsistency and lack of clinical finishing have hurt them.
Libya can bank on forward Firezi Mansour Salama (3 assists in 8 games) and creative midfielder Mohammed Soulah (2 assists in 3 games). In attack, Ezoo El Mariamy—yes, the same name as Mauritius’ top scorer—leads the line for Libya with 4 goals. Abdulmunem Aleiyan is another reliable midfield presence.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Mauritius
- Strengths: Occasional attacking bursts, especially through El Mariamy; home crowd can inspire.
- Weaknesses: Poor defensive record, struggle to keep clean sheets; lack of composure in key moments.
Libya
- Strengths: More consistent, better defensive organization; more experience in big games.
- Weaknesses: Can be blunt in attack; sometimes struggle to convert pressure into goals.
Match Factors
No major injuries or suspensions have been reported. The weather in Port Louis should be good for football. Motivation is crucial—Libya’s playoff ambition vs. Mauritius’ pride at home. Expect Mauritius to fight, but can they find the net?
Storylines to Watch
- Bounce Back or Another Setback? Will Mauritius finally ignite their campaign in front of the home fans, or will the cycle of poor results continue? If they score first, the match could be lively.
- Away From Home, But Not Out of Depth Libya may not travel easy, but their record is solid. Can they handle the pressure of being favorites? If they settle quickly, this could be a long afternoon for Mauritius.
- Clash of Records Two teams heading in opposite directions—one fighting for survival, the other for a World Cup dream. This contrast could shape the game’s tempo and drama.
Head-to-Head & Recent Results
- Last meeting: Libya 2-1 Mauritius (Jun 6, 2024, World Cup qualifier)
- Libya: W2 D2 L1 in last five away
- Mauritius: W1 D2 L2 in last five home
Betting Insights
The odds speak clearly: Libya are heavy favorites with an away win priced at 1.50, a draw at 3.75, and a Mauritius upset at 8.50. Both teams to score – ‘Yes’ is 2.25, ‘No’ is 1.57. Under 2.5 goals is 1.67, Over 2.5 is 2.15.
Possible Scenarios
- Libya Wins Tightly (Medium-High): They edge it in a scrappy match, perhaps 1-0 or 2-1.
- Mauritius Holds Firm (Low): If they’re disciplined and get lucky, a draw is possible but unlikely.
- Goals Limited (Medium): Neither side looks ultra-sharp in attack, so lower scorelines are possible.
Conclusion
Libya are the better team on paper and in form, but Mauritius will throw everything into their home game. Expect a competitive, sometimes cagey match, but the visitors should have just enough quality to see this one through.