Our Predictions
Lens are in far better form, sitting 6th, and have won three of the last five head-to-head. Metz are winless at home and low on confidence. The odds of 1.75 reflect Lens' status as favorites.
Both teams have scored in four of their past five meetings. Metz have managed to score late even in tough games, and Lens tend to concede when playing away. Odds of 1.80 offer fair value.
Recent encounters have seen at least three goals on average. With both teams' defensive flaws and Lens' attacking style, over 2.5 goals at 1.91 is a logical bet.
Metz vs Lens Ligue 1 Match Preview – Predictions & Betting Tips | Extratips
Welcome to Extratips! Get ready for an exciting clash in Ligue 1 as Metz host Lens at Stade Saint Symphorien on October 29, 2025, 18:00 UTC. Metz are struggling in 18th place (2 points) and still searching for their first win this season. Lens, on the other hand, hold 6th place (6 points) and are targeting a push for the European spots.
Top Odds & Implications:
- Home win: 4.75 – Metz are clear underdogs.
- Draw: 3.50 – Bookies expect a tough, possibly close game.
- Away win: 1.75 – Lens are strong favorites.
Standings Motivation: Metz need points to escape the relegation zone, while Lens eye the top five to secure European football.
Last 5 H2H Results:
- Lens 3-1 Metz
- Metz 0-1 Lens
- Lens 3-0 Metz
- Metz 1-1 Lens
- Metz 2-2 Lens
Lens have a clear edge lately, winning three of the last five.
Recent Home/Away Form:
- Metz home: 0W-2D-3L (goals 1-5)
- Lens away: 2W-1D-2L (goals 4-4)
Metz Strengths:
- Compact for periods (held strong teams to draws)
- Home crowd boost
- Can score late (recent goal in dying moments)
Metz Weaknesses:
- Struggle offensively (fewest goals in Ligue 1)
- Poor set-piece defense (2 set-piece goals conceded recently)
- Lack of confidence (winless in all 7 games)
Lens Strengths:
- Quick transitions from defense to attack (recent 3-1 win showed this)
- Consistent midfield control
- Threat on counters
Lens Weaknesses:
- Vulnerable to crosses
- Not clinical away from home
- Occasional lapses in concentration (conceded late equalizer recently)
Key Match Factors: Metz missing their captain due to suspension. Lens will be with all regular starters. Weather looks fine, so conditions favor fast football.
Storylines:
- Can Metz finally seal a first win at home?
- Will Lens continue their push for Europe?
- Will this be a low-scoring survival battle or an open game?
Betting Angles:
- Lens to win is favored, but Metz's need for points might keep it close.
- Recent H2H suggests goals are likely.
Performance Comparison:
Lens play more attacking football and have stronger defensive numbers, while Metz struggle to create chances. Both teams conceded in four of their last five duels.
Match Scenarios:
- Lens win with both teams scoring (medium-high)
- Tight draw with under 3 goals (medium)
- Metz snatch a point or late win against the run (low)