Real Madrid are one of the strongest home teams in La Liga, with 7 wins in 8 matches and an attack led by Mbappé (9 goals) and Vinícius (5 goals). Valencia have struggled away (no wins) and are 14th in the table, so Madrid are clear favorites at 1.25 odds.

Four of the last five meetings saw at least 3 goals, and both teams feature attacking talent but defensive lapses. Real Madrid have averaged over 2 goals per home game, making over 2.5 at 1.53 a solid pick.

Recent head-to-heads were high-scoring (last 5: both scored in 4). Valencia usually find a way to score even in tough games, and Madrid can be caught on the break. Odds of 1.95 offer good value for BTTS.